I had always been intrigued by the fall of the mighty
communist regime, USSR, the only other superpower to counterbalance the
capitalist USA and the country on which India had depended heavily in the early
years of her independence, copying the model of planned development of economy
and for starting many heavy industries like steel. Even today we heavily lean
on Russia for the requirements of our defense equipment. How did it suddenly
disintegrate into its constituent states, creating tiny small republics that
dot central Asia today?
Recently when I happen to get a book by Mikhail
Gorbachev, “Perestroika,” my interest
in the topic got rekindled and I greedily read it and followed it up by reading
“The Last Empire: The Final Days of the
Soviet Union,” by Serhii Plokhy. I have shored up “Memoirs” by Gorbachev to round it all up. The drama that unfolded
in front of me in these pages was amazing and I thought I must share with you if
not the process, the major reasons that led to this fall and disintegration.
To give a background, USSR was formed on 30 December
1922 with 12 smaller autonomous states annexed to Russia. This was preceded by
the Russian Revolution of 1917 where Bolshevik party under Vladimir Lenin abolished
monarchy and established the communist Socialist State on the ruins of the
former Russian Empire. Russian Empire had exited from 1721 to 1917, and in 1917
Bolsheviks pressurised the Tsar Nicholas II of Russia to abdicate and later in
1918 assassinated the whole family of five daughters and a boy along with the Tsar
and Tsarina in 1918, wiping out traces of monarchical rule from Russia. Lenin’s
communist rule developed into a highly centralized country.
Russia, the main nation has a population consisting of
84% of Russians, the people of Rus,
who belong to the ethnic group of Slavs. Other
Slavic tribes native to Eastern Europe, like Bulgarians, Serbs, Croats, Slovenians,
Poles, Czechs, Moravians are also present in USSR with varying degrees among
the Russian population. Ukraine, a big Slavic state has 73% of Ukrainian Slavs and
15% Russians living mainly in Crimea, and south east of Ukraine. You would
remember recently in 2014 the present Russian President Vladimir Putin annexed
Crimea. Belarus is another big Slavic state with 80% of Belarusians. These
three Russia, Ukraine and Belarus are important Slavic nations with a minority
of others living with them.
Then come the small Baltic States Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, with minority of Russians living with them. In 1940 the Baltic
States Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania were militarily occupied and incorporated
into USSR based on the 1939 Moltov-Ribbentrop pact, which was basically a
non-war pact between Nazi Germany and USSR. But this pact was broken the very
next year by Nazi regime who captured these states. USSR recaptured them in
1944.
That leaves another eight republics or states, of
which five are Central Asian republics Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan,
Kyrgyzstan with Muslim majority. All of
Central Asia, which was under Persian Empire and conquered by Islamic
caliphates in the 9th century and become Islamized, was gradually
incorporated into the Russian Empire during the 19th century. By
default they were passed on to USSR in the Bolshevik take over in 1922.
The other four republics are Azerbaijan, Armenia,
Georgia and Moldova. Azerbaijan and Armenia, the Trans-Caucasian regions were
annexed by Soviet in 1922 after the First World War. Soviet created an
autonomous region of Nagorna-Karabakh with majority of Armenian population but
incorporated it in Azerbaijan, in a divide and rule policy. To add to the
problems Armenia, has a majority Christian population and Azerbaijan majority
Muslim population. Nagora-Karabakh voted to join Armenia in 1980s which led to
a major war between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 1994, reverberations of which are
heard even today, when in December 2020 this flared up. Georgia was the third
Trans-Caucasian area that was annexed by Soviet in 1922. Moldova has a
difficult history. It belonged to Romania which ceded it to Russian Empire in
1878 as per a pact. In World War I Romania was able to wrestle back Moldova.
But in 1940 USSR took her back and it became a part of USSR in 1947 during
World War II.
Though these fifteen states had on paper the right to
secede and form independent states, in practice under USSR it was not possible
and they were not allowed to. Now that we have seen the background history of
all the fifteen republics or states that belonged to USSR, let’s see how and
why these blocs separated from USSR and became independent countries. This has
been our original quest too.
The main reason for the disintegration of USSR was that
the communist economy was faring badly, especially when compared to the economy
of the capitalist USA. Those Soviets who visited USA and its supermarkets were
amazed to see the overflowing goods on the counters and that too so many
different varieties of one particular item, being imported from various corners
of the world. This affluence was sadly missing from the life of the Soviet
Union. Wanting to bring in that type of prosperity to Soviet was the dream of
the Communist leaders, especially Mikhail Gorbachev who was elected the General
Secretary of the Political bureau in 1985.
The way forward as designed by Gorbachev was to
liberalize the economy and introduce market economy as in the West. Like his
ancestor Tsar Peter the Great in 1689s who looked to the Western Europe to reform
and modernize Russia, bringing in wearing of Western clothes and trimming of
bears, Gorbachev also looked to the West. To restructure the economy, he
brought in Perestroika that is,
restructuring economy by opening it up and introducing market economy and
restructuring the society itself. He introduced elections to the municipalities
and states; he liberalized media by his famous policy of Glasnost, that is, openness and removed state control over them.
Politically it was a new way of thinking and it brought sudden and swift
changes and a break from the controlled life under communism to democracy and the
call for independence started. Once he opened up the flood gates of these
reforms he could not contain them. Like Robespierre of French Revolution, who
encouraged killing of thousands by the killing machine guillotine, becoming a
victim of it himself, Gorbachev became the victim of his own reforms.
The fame for having extinguished the life of the
Soviet Union would go also go to Yeltsin, the democratically elected President
of the nation Russia, who came to power after the failed coup to displace Gorbachev
in 1991. With the new found strength of democracy and the people, he gradually
and surely ousted the then President and General Secretary Gorbachev from his
office, by outlawing Communism in Russia, and abolishing the party posts. In
his eagerness to step into the shoes of the party President, and be the boss of
all the independent republics of the former Soviet Union, he became autocratic
and abusive. Gorbachev had no role to play in the new system and was relegated to
not even be a rubber stamp! There was no party post of General Secretary! He
was forced to resign on 25th December 1991. And that was the end of
USSR, the mighty superpower of the world.
A crucial role will be played by Ukraine’s President
Kravchuk, a major Slavish republic with abundant natural resources. Realizing
Yeltsin’s game and not wanting to be under the rule of Russian conglomeration,
he quickly declared independence of Ukraine and announced that Ukraine will
secede from USSR and be independent. Once this was ratified in his parliament
on 1 December 1991, things moved fast. The other Slavic republic Belarus soon
followed suit and declared independence. Yeltsin now has to be satisfied only
with Russia. He tried to pass orders taking over all the central offices and
resources in Moscow. Gorbachev could do nothing to stop him!
With the three Slavic republics, Russia, Ukraine and
Belarus declaring independence, and forming a Commonwealth, the five central
Asian Muslim majority republics of Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan,
Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan also joined the bandwagon, separating themselves
from USSR. The three Baltic republics Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia had already
become independent following elections in 1990 and as encouraged by President Bush
of USA (the senior Bush) and agreed by Gorbachev they became separate sovereign
nations in September 1991. Soviet troops were withdrawn from these countries.
Thus by December 1991, almost all the republics of the communist USSR declared independence
and walked away with it. The President of USSR was left with nothing and he resigned
and handed over whatever he held to Yeltsin who stepped into his shoes, but
shorn of 14 republics, loosely wound around Commonwealth. American President
was keener on the nuclear weapons’ activating code which was with Gorbachev.
This was handed over to Yeltsin, with an assurance that whatever international
treaties agreed between Bush and Gorbachev will be honored by Yeltsin.
That the great communist country USSR which stood as
the other superpower to counter the power of capitalist country USA
disintegrated without violence and bloodshed was a major achievement and the
credit would go to Gorbachev. Though he knew that he was losing power and
position, he did not try really to unleash the army or KEB on the leaders or
the people. After the coup in August 1991, when Gorbachev was confined to his
house in Crimea, he lost the game to Yeltsin. The army or KEB would not even
listen to him, even if he had wanted them to support him and continue in
position. Bush, President of America, though tried to keep him in power as long
as possible and wanted Yeltsin to offer an honorable and respectful retirement
to Gorbachev, when the game was over, he sided the new powerful Yeltsin and
even prided announcing that he had won the cold war and overcome the Soviet
competition.
Gorbachev would not have dreamt that his own
policies of perestroika and glasnost, restructuring and openness, would dismantle USSR and also evict him
from the position of power. His actions were crucial in ending the cold war in
the world after the Second World War and bringing down the terror of igniting a
nuclear war. He had served his calling and had to quit, almost like the British
public who voted out Churchill, the war time hero, who was instrumental in
winning the Second World War for England as the Prime Minister.
So are the Empires on earth; they come and go; they
are all built on bloodshed and death of thousands of innocent people. Doesn’t
that create a desire in our hearts to look for an everlasting kingdom, Kingdom
of God, which will not only last forever but will be ruled in righteousness and
justice? Let His kingdom come. Amen.
Very interesting read in a nutshell Ma'am. Yes indeed, all earthly systems are bound to fail! Amen. Naranatha Lord Jesus!
ReplyDeleteYes, "Marana tha," "Come, Lord Jesus." He alone can give the world a just and righteous rule. Lets await His return.
ReplyDeleteExcellent retelling of the fall of Communism in Russia and the end of the Cold War. I know I did leaned heavily on the Russian model of development - the Input-Output Model - which Mahalanobis espoused. I remember being fascinated by very cheap Russian illustrated books, fiction as well as science. I thought Russia definitely had a much higher per capita income and Standard of Living than we did. But they were hungering for America's ostentatious consumption. However as you point out,new governments and new republics have been formed, eternally regrouping and forming, rising and falling like ocean waves. And all these movements are just a blip in infinity. It's only that realisation that can open our eyes to the reality of God and His perfect Kingdom
ReplyDeleteHere we are all poor players that fret our hour upon the stage and then are heard no more. Its obvious that Man can never create that Utopia.
Not "I did" but "India"
ReplyDeletePriya Dilip Kumar
Very true Priya. Russians for ever were copying the West. It has its attractions but if our feet are not firmly planted in our own soil, we tend to get carried away.
ReplyDeleteUtopia is only a dream and it will remain a dream. On this side of eternity it is at the most a sweet dream and never a reality!
I wouldn't find fault with the Russian model we adopted in the beginning to establish an industrial base with someone's help. Russians were willing to help and we availed of it. Nehru was awed by the Soviet model of socialistic society! Well, based on that dream we have built our economy today. Ideas and models of economies have to change with times, which we have done. No regrets. May be it too that long for us to learn the short comings of the Russian Model!
ReplyDeleteVery informative. Thanks for writing.
ReplyDeleteYou are welcome. I appreciate your views.
ReplyDelete